Effect of diminished ovarian reserve on the outcome of fresh embryo transfer in IVF/ICSI cycles among young women: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to investigate the effect of diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) on the clinical outcomes and maternal and infant safety of in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) procedures in young women aged ≤ 35 years. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed to analyze the clinical data of 4,203 infertile women aged ≤ 35 years who underwent fresh embryo transfer (ET) in IVF/ICSI cycles. The data were collected from their initial visits to Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital between January 2015 and January 2022. Based on their ovarian reserve, the participants were categorized into two groups: DOR group (n = 1,027) and non-DOR group (n = 3,176). A propensity score matching (PSM) method was employed to ensure a relatively balanced distribution of covariates. The primary outcome assessed in this study was the live birth rate, while the secondary observation indicators included rates of high-quality embryo development, blastocyst formation, clinical pregnancy, and miscarriage, along with perinatal complications, neonatal birth weight, and the incidence of low birth weight (LBW). RESULTS: The DOR group showed notably lowered rates of blastocyst formation (59.8% vs. 64.1%), embryo implantation (29.8% vs.33.3%), clinical pregnancy (47.9% vs. 53.6%), and live birth (40.6% vs. 45.7%) compared to the non-DOR group (all P < 0.05). However, no statistically significant differences were observed in the high-quality embryo rate, miscarriage rate, perinatal complications, neonatal birth weight, or LBW incidence in infants between both groups (all P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: DOR has been found to reduce both clinical pregnancy and live birth rates in young females undergoing fresh ET in IVF/ICSI cycles. However, this reduction does not increase the risk of perinatal complications or LBW of infants through live birth cycles.

On hierarchical competition through reduction of individual growth.

We consider a population organised hierarchically with respect to size in such a way that the growth rate of each individual depends only on the presence of larger individuals. As a concrete example one might think of a forest, in which the incidence of light on a tree (and hence how fast it grows) is affected by shading by taller trees. The classic formulation of a model for such a size-structured population employs a first order quasi-linear partial differential equation equipped with a non-local boundary condition. However, the model can also be formulated as a delay equation, more specifically a scalar renewal equation, for the population birth rate. After discussing the well-posedness of the delay formulation, we analyse how many stationary birth rates the equation can have in terms of the functional parameters of the model. In particular we show that, under reasonable and rather general assumptions, only one stationary birth rate can exist besides the trivial one (associated to the state in which there are no individuals and the population birth rate is zero). We give conditions for this non-trivial stationary birth rate to exist and analyse its stability using the principle of linearised stability for delay equations. Finally, we relate the results to the alternative, partial differential equation formulation of the model.

Effect of Day 3 cell number on the live birth rate of vitrified-warmed Day 5 single blastocyst transfer in young women.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported inconsistent results regarding blastocyst selection with a high day 3 (D3) cell number and the eventual pregnancy outcomes. Thus, in this study, the relationship between the D3 cell number and clinical outcomes of day 5 single blastocyst transfer (SBT) in vitrified-warmed transfer cycles was investigated. METHODS: Our retrospective study included 1144 day 5 SBT in vitrified-warmed cycles between February 2016 and February 2021. All cycles were the first vitrified-warmed cycles, and the female patients were less than 35 years of age. Based on the D3 cell number, the cycles were divided into four groups, as follows: group A (3-7 cells, n = 130); group B (8-9 cells, n = 621); group C (10-12 cells, n = 328); and group D (13-16 cells, n = 65). The differences in the live birth rate (LBR), clinical pregnancy rate, and miscarriage rate were examined among the four groups. RESULTS: The LBR and clinical pregnancy rate increased with the D3 cell number (P < 0.01). No significant difference was found in the miscarriage rate among the groups (P = 0.055). After adjusting for confounding factors, the LBR was significantly higher in groups C (odds ratio [OR] = 1.477, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.124-1.941, P = 0.005) and D (OR = 2.000, 95% CI: 1.166-3.429, P = 0.012) than in group B. CONCLUSIONS: A high D3 cell number (> 9 cells) was associated with a high LBR in the vitrified-warmed day 5 SBT cycles of patients < 35 years of age. The cell number of D3 embryos can be an important reference indicator for blastocyst selection. Among blastocysts with the same morphological score, those with > 9 cells on D3 can be preferentially selected for transplantation.

Impact of thyroid autoimmunity on the cumulative live birth rates after IVF/ICSI treatment cycles.

BACKGROUND: Cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) is considered as the most important endpoint for assessing the probability of having a baby in a complete in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) treatment cycle. Many previous studies have focused on the association between thyroid autoimmunity (TAI) and live birth rate after first embryo transfer cycle, however, evidence on whether the presence of TAI affects the CLBR is lacking. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of TAI on the CLBR in a complete IVF/ICSI cycle. METHODS: This retrospective study included 12,796 women who underwent their first IVF/ICSI treatment between January 2019 and February 2021. Based on the levels of thyroid antibodies, 2,603 women were assigned to the TAI group, and 10,193 women were assigned to the control group. Subgroup analysis was performed according to the different causes of infertility (including male factor only, ovulation disorder, tubal factor, endometriosis and unexplained infertility) and different types and titres of thyroid antibodies. The primary outcome in this study was CLBR, which included live births from the fresh embryo transfer cycle and all subsequent frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles performed before December 2021. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in the CLBR between the TAI and control groups, even after adjusting for relevant confounders including age, body mass index, cause of infertility, thyroid function, protocols of controlled ovarian stimulation, type of transfer (fresh vs. frozen), type of transferred embryo (cleavage-stage embryo vs. blastocyst), and fertilization method (IVF vs. ICSI) (cumulative live birth: 50.6% vs. 52.1%, OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.86-1.02, adjusted OR 0.97, 95%CI 0.89-1.06). Subgroup analysis showed that no significant difference was observed in CLBR between the TAI and control groups for all causes of infertility, except for infertility attributed to endometriosis. Among women with endometriosis, the CLBR was significantly lower in the TAI group than that in the control group; however, this difference was not significant after adjusting for potential confounders including age, body mass index, thyroid function, protocols of controlled ovarian stimulation, type of transfer (fresh vs. frozen), type of transferred embryo (cleavage-stage embryo vs. blastocyst), and fertilization method (IVF vs. ICSI) (cumulative live births: 43.1% vs. 51.0%, OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.53-0.99, adjusted OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.53-1.02). Another subgroup analysis demonstrated that the type and titre of thyroid antibody did not affect CLBR in women with TAI. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, there was no significant difference in the CLBR between women with TAI and those without TAI, which suggests that TAI did not affect the chances of having a baby in a complete IVF/ICSI treatment cycle.

Sociodemographic factors underlying lifetime fertility among ever-married Swazi women.

Fertility rates remain high in certain subgroups of the population, and there is limited research about the sociodemographic factors influencing fertility, particularly in Eswatini where women are often considered minors. This study aims to investigate the changes in lifetime fertility, and the associations between sociodemographic factors and lifetime fertility among ever-married women. The study used secondary cross-sectional data from the 2010 and 2014 Eswatini Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), with a sample size of 2,295 and 2,351 women, respectively. The data was analysed using descriptive statistics and multivariable Poisson regression. The results showed that fertility rates decreased from 3.47 to 3.21 children between 2010 and 2014. The study found that child loss and age (25+ years) were significant factors associated with higher fertility, while delayed age at marriage and sexual debut (20+ years), at least secondary education, and being rich were strong predictors of lower fertility rates. The study recommends creating awareness about and strengthening laws to abolish early sexual debut and marriage. It also suggests empowering women through education, encouraging the use of contraceptives, and providing maternal and child health services in rural areas where fertility rates tend to be higher.

Les taux de fécondité restent élevés dans certains sous-groupes de la population, et les recherches sur les facteurs sociodémographiques influençant la fécondité sont limitées, en particulier à Eswatini où les femmes sont souvent considérées comme mineures. Cette étude vise à étudier les changements dans la fécondité au cours de la vie et les associations entre les facteurs sociodémographiques et la fécondité au cours de la vie chez les femmes déjà mariées. L'étude a utilisé des données transversales secondaires des enquêtes par grappes à indicateurs multiples (MICS) d'Eswatini de 2010 et 2014, avec un échantillon de 2 295 et 2 351 femmes, respectivement. Les données ont été analysées à l'aide de statistiques descriptives et d'une régression de Poisson multivariée. Les résultats ont montré que les taux de fécondité ont diminué de 3,47 à 3,21 enfants entre 2010 et 2014. L'étude a révélé que la perte d'enfants et l'âge (25 ans et plus) étaient des facteurs importants associés à une fécondité plus élevée, tandis qu'un âge plus tardif au mariage et aux débuts sexuels (20 ans et plus) ), au moins une éducation secondaire, et le fait d'être riche étaient de puissants prédicteurs de taux de fécondité plus faibles. L'étude recommande de sensibiliser et de renforcer les lois visant à abolir les premiers rapports sexuels et le mariage précoces. Il suggère également d'autonomiser les femmes grâce à l'éducation, d'encourager l'utilisation de contraceptifs et de fournir des services de santé maternelle et infantile dans les zones rurales où les taux de fécondité ont tendance à être plus élevés.

Fertility and self-rated health of migrant women of childbearing age-an analysis of moderating effects based on socioeconomic status.

BACKGROUND: As fertility rates continue to decline and negative population growth emerges, China has sequentially introduced encouraging fertility policies to raise fertility levels. The impact of fertility on women's health remains inconclusive. It is essential to explore further the correlation between fertility and the health status of 113 million migrant women of childbearing age in China. OBJECTIVE: To investigate how fertility affects the health status of migrant women of childbearing age and determine if migrant women's socioeconomic status plays a moderating role in this process. METHODS: Using a nationally representative dataset from the 2018 China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS), we examined the effects of fertility on the self-rated health of migrant women of childbearing age. An ordinary least squares regression model with moderating effects was used for the empirical study, and robustness tests were conducted based on the ordered probit model and propensity score matching to address endogeneity. RESULTS: The empirical results indicated that a rise in the number of children born significantly reduces the self-rated health of migrant women of childbearing age. An increase in years of schooling and household income can significantly mitigate the negative impact of childbearing on the health of migrant women. The robustness of the above results was validated through alternative models and propensity score matching (PSM) methods. The heterogeneity analysis revealed that fertility exerts a negative impact on the health status of migrant women with rural household registration and on the health status of inter-provincial and inter-city migrant women. Further investigation found that the occurrence of childbirth during migration and an increase in the number of girls significantly negatively impacted the health status of migrant women. In contrast, the increase in the number of boys did not show a significant effect. Improving the health of migrant women of childbearing age significantly positively impacted their future childbearing intentions. CONCLUSIONS: Migrant women of childbearing age bear the dual burden of migration and childbirth. Our findings showed the rise in the number of children born and the occurrence of childbirth during migration posed greater challenges to the health status of female migrants, particularly among those with lower socioeconomic status. Government and community efforts for enhancing health among migrant women of childbearing age are recommended.

Age-related increase in live-birth rates of first frozen thaw embryo versus first fresh transfer in initial assisted reproductive technology cycles without PGT.

BACKGROUND: The landscape of assisted reproductive technology (ART) has seen a significant shift towards frozen-thawed embryo transfers (FET) over fresh transfers, driven by technological advancements and clinical considerations. This study aimed to compare live birth outcomes between primary FET and fresh transfers, focusing on cycles without preimplantation genetic testing (PGT), using United States national data from the SART CORS database spanning from 2014 to 2020. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of autologous first ART cycles without PGT comparing primary embryo transfer (frozen thaw vs. fresh) success rates from the 2014-2020 SARTCORS database. Live-birth rates (LBR) and cumulative live-birth rates (CLBR) were compared between first FET versus first fresh embryo transfer from an index retrieval. Multivariate logistic regression (MLR) determined association between live birth outcomes and method of transfer. In a subsequent sub-analysis, we compared these two embryo transfer methods among patients with either diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) or male factor infertility. RESULTS: 228,171 first ART cycles resulted in primary embryo transfer. 62,100 initial FETs and 166,071 fresh transfers were compared. Initial FETs demonstrated higher LBR and CLBR compared to fresh transfers (LBR 48.3% vs. 39.8%, p < 0.001; CLBR 74.0% vs. 60.0%, p < 0.0001). MLR indicated greater chances of live birth with FET across all age groups, with adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of live-birth incrementally increasing with advancing age groups. For DOR cycles, LBR and CLBR were significantly higher for FET compared to fresh (33.9% vs. 26.0%, p < 0.001, 44.5% vs. 37.6%, p < 0.0001), respectively. MF cycles also demonstrated higher LBR and CLBR with FET (52.3% vs. 44.2%, p < 0.001, 81.2% vs. 68.9%, p < 0.0001), respectively. MLR demonstrated that in DOR cycles, initial FET was associated with greater chance of live birth in age groups ≥ 35yo (p < 0.01), with aOR of live birth increasingly considerably for those > 42yo (aOR 2.63, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Overall LBR and CLBR were greater for first FET than fresh transfers with incremental increases in odds of live birth with advancing age, suggesting the presence of a more favorable age-related change in endometrial receptivity present in frozen-thawed cycles. For both DOR and MF cycles, LBR and CLBR after primary transfer were greater for first FET than fresh. However, this was particularly evident in older ages for DOR cycles. This suggests that supraphysiologic stimulation in older DOR cycles may be detrimental to endometrial receptivity, which is in part corrected for in FET cycles.

A reassessment of trends and rural-urban/regional differences in the total fertility rate in China, 2000-2020: analyses of the 2020 national census data.

The decline in the total fertility rate (TFR) is a key driver of population change and has important implications for population health and social development. However, China's TFR has been a considerable controversy due to a lack of high-quality data. Therefore, this study used the 2020 national population census of China (NPCC) data and reverse survival method to reassess temporal trends in the TFRs and to reexamine rural-urban differences and regional variations in TFRs from 2000 to 2020 in China. Overall, there were significant gaps between the estimated and reported TFRs before 2020, and the estimated TFRs based on the 2020 NPCC data remained higher than the reported TFRs from government statistics. Although TFRs rebounded shortly in the years after the two-child policy, they have shown a wavelike decline since 2010. Additionally, the estimated TFRs fluctuated below 1.5 children per woman in urban areas compared to above 1.8 in rural areas, but the rural-urban differences continued to decrease. Regarding geographic regional variations, the estimated TFRs in all regions displayed a declining trend during 2010-2020, especially in rural areas. Large decreases of over 25% in TFRs occurred in the north, east, central, and northwest regions. In addition to changing the birth policy, the government and society should adopt comprehensive strategies, including reducing the costs of marriage, childbearing, and child education, as well as promoting work-family balance, to encourage and increase fertility levels.

Comparison of pregnancy outcomes among patients of different ages who underwent frozen-thawed high-quality single blastocyst transfer.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the feasibility of performing frozen-thawed high-quality single blastocyst transfer in women of different ages. METHODS: A total of 1,279 women were divided into four groups: a 38-40-year-old group (n = 147), 35-37-year-old group (n = 164), 30-34-year-old group (n = 483), and < 30-year-old group (n = 485). Intergroup comparisons of baseline characteristics and pregnancy and neonatal outcomes were made. RESULTS: The clinical pregnancy rate (47.6%), and live birth rate (34.0%) in the 38-40-year-old group were significantly lower than those in the 30-34-year-old group (64.4%, 50.9%, respectively; all P < 0.001) and < 30-year-old group (62.9%, 50.7%, respectively; all P < 0.001). However, the 35-37-year-old group did not differ from the other three groups in these two dimensions (all P > 0.05). Moreover, there were no differences in the rates of biochemical pregnancy, miscarriage, or obstetric or neonatal complications among the four groups (all P > 0.05). According to the multivariate logistic regression analysis, the 35-37-year-old group was not associated with non-live birth outcomes, adverse pregnancy outcomes, or obstetric or neonatal complications. However, being 38-40 years of age was a risk factor for non-live birth (OR = 2.121, 95% CI: 1.233-3.647) and adverse pregnancy outcomes (OR = 1.630, 95% CI: 1.010-2.633). Post hoc power analysis showed that the study was sufficiently powered to detect meaningful differences. CONCLUSION: Frozen-thawed high-quality single blastocyst transfer produces the same satisfactory pregnancy outcomes for women aged 35-37 years as younger patients. Future prospective randomized controlled studies with larger populations are needed to verify the feasibility and safety of this method.

Births: Final Data for 2022.

Objectives- This report presents 2022 data on U.S. births by selected characteristics. Trends in fertility patterns and maternal and infant characteristics are described. Methods-Descriptive tabulations based on birth certificates of the 3.67 million births registered in 2022 are shown by maternal age, live-birth order, race and Hispanic origin, marital status, tobacco use, prenatal care, source of payment for the delivery, method of delivery, gestational age, birthweight, and plurality. Selected data by mother's state of residence and birth rates also are shown. Trends for 2010 to 2022 are presented for selected items, and by race and Hispanic origin for 2016-2022. Results-A total of 3,667,758 births occurred in the United States in 2022, essentially unchanged from 2021. The general fertility rate declined 1% from 2021 to 56.0 births per 1,000 females ages 15-44 in 2022. The birth rate for females ages 15-19 declined 2% from 2021 to 2022; birth rates fell 7% for women ages 20-24, rose 1% to 5% for women ages 25-29 and 35-44, and rose 12% for women ages 45-49 (the first increase since 2016). The total fertility rate declined less than 1% to 1,656.5 births per 1,000 women in 2022. Birth rates declined for unmarried women but increased for married women from 2021 to 2022. Prenatal care beginning in the first trimester declined to 77.0% in 2022; the percentage of women who smoked during pregnancy declined to 3.7%. The cesarean delivery rate was unchanged in 2022 (32.1%); Medicaid was the source of payment for 41.3% of births. The preterm birth rate declined 1% to 10.38%; the low birthweight rate rose 1% to 8.60%. The twin birth rate was unchanged in 2022 (31.2 per 1,000 births); the 2% decrease in the triplet and higher-order multiple birth rate.

Fresh or frozen day 6 blastocyst transfer: is there still a question?

BACKGROUND: The Live Birth Rate (LBR) after day 5 (D5) blastocyst transfer is significantly higher than that with D6 embryos in both fresh and frozen-vitrified embryo transfer cycles, according to the most recently published meta-analyses. Therefore, for women obtaining only D6 blastocysts, the chances of pregnancy may be lower but nonetheless sufficient to warrant transferring such embryos. The best strategy for transfer (i.e., in fresh versus frozen cycles) remains unclear and there is a paucity of data on this subject. METHODS: A total of 896 couples with D6 single blastocyst transfers were retrospectively analyzed: patients receiving a fresh D6 embryo transfer (Fresh D6 transfer group, n = 109) versus those receiving a frozen-thawed D6 embryo transfer (Frozen D6 transfer group, n = 787). A subgroup comprising a freeze-all cycle without any previous fresh or frozen D5 embryo transfers (Elective frozen D6, n = 77) was considered and also compared with the Fresh D6 transfer group. We compared LBR between these two groups. Correlation between D6 blastocyst morphology according to Gardner's classification and live birth occurrence was also evaluated. Statistical analysis was carried out using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. RESULTS: The LBR was significantly lower after a fresh D6 blastocyst transfer compared to the LBR with a frozen-thawed D6 blastocyst transfer [5.5% (6/109) vs. 12.5% (98/787), p = 0.034]. Comparison between LBR after Elective frozen D6 group to the Fresh D6 blastocyst transfers confirmed the superiority of frozen D6 blastocyst transfers. Statistical analysis of the blastocyst morphology parameters showed that both trophectoderm (TE) and inner cell mass (ICM) grades were significantly associated with the LBR after D6 embryo transfer (p < 0.001, p = 0.037). Multiple logistic regression revealed that frozen D6 thawed transfer was independently associated with a higher LBR compared with fresh D6 transfer (OR = 2.54; 95% CI: [1.05-6.17]; p = 0.038). Our results also show that transferring a good or top-quality D6 blastocyst increased the chances of a live birth by more than threefold. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that transferring D6 blastocysts in frozen cycles improves the LBR, making it the best embryo transfer strategy for these slow-growing embryos. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

Long-term population projections: Scenarios of low or rebounding fertility.

The size of the human population is projected to peak in the 21st century. But quantitative projections past 2100 are rare, and none quantify the possibility of a rebound from low fertility to replacement-level fertility. Moreover, the most recent long-term deterministic projections were published a decade ago; since then there has been further global fertility decline. Here we provide updated long-term cohort-component population projections and extend the set of scenarios in the literature to include scenarios in which future fertility (a) stays below replacement or (b) recovers and increases. We also characterize old-age dependency ratios. We show that any stable, long-run size of the world population would persistently depend on when an increase towards replacement fertility begins. Without such an increase, the 400-year span when more than 2 billion people were alive would be a brief spike in history. Indeed, four-fifths of all births-past, present, and future-would have already happened.

[IN VITRO FERTILIZATION (IVF) TREATMENTS IN MACCABI HEALTHCARE SERVICES 2015-2020].

BACKGROUND: Previously, we have summarized IVF treatment outcomes for the years 2007-2014. In 2014, the Ministry of Health (MOH) recommended that infertile patients above 39 years of age can be offered IVF as a first line treatment, given the natural age-related decrease in ovarian reserve. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of the current publication is to summarize IVF treatment outcomes for the years 2015-2020, and to explore possible changes in IVF treatments following the MOH statement. METHODS: IVF treatments and live birth data were collected from Maccabi Healthcare Services' fertility treatments registry. We have included only autologous fresh and frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles. A successful treatment cycle was defined if a live birth was recorded between 6 to 10 months of its initiation. RESULTS: Mean patients' age increased from 36.2 years in 2011 to 37.5 years in the 6 years surveyed (2015-2020). While the number of fresh cycles was stable, the number of FET cycles increased from 4,507 in 2015 to 6,795 in 2020. The percentage of cycles performed in private hospitals increased gradually from 72% in 2015 to 77% in 2020. The number of patients over 40 years of age increased from 3,204 in 2011, to 3,648 in 2014, and to 3,915 in 2020. CONCLUSIONS: The total number of IVF cycles increased gradually from 2015 to 2020, mainly due to significant increase in FET cycles. The continued increase in mean patients' age may reflect the change in MOH recommendations.

Long-term embryo vitrification is associated with reduced success rates in women undergoing frozen embryo transfer following a failed fresh cycle.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of long-term embryo vitrification with the success rates and neonatal outcomes in frozen cycles. STUDY DESIGN: A single-center, retrospective cohort study was performed in Peking University Third Hospital. We included women who had undergone their first vitrified-warmed cycles following an unsuccessful fresh embryo transfer cycle between January 2013 and December 2019. Restricted cubic splines with 4 knots (at min-3.0 months, 3.1-6.0 months, 6.1-12.0 months, 12.1-max months) were used to map the non-linear relationship between live birth and embryo storage time as a continuous variable after adjustment for covariates. Multiple logistic regression was used to calculate crude odds ratios (OR) and adjusted OR (aOR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: A total of 10,167 women undergoing their first frozen cycle following an unsuccessful fresh embryo transfer cycle were included, among whom 3,708 resulted in a live birth (3,254 singleton live births). Restricted cubic splines, both before and after adjusting for covariates, showed that the predicted live birth rate (LBR) progressively decreased with an increase in the duration of embryo cryopreservation. This trend was also evident when women were categorized into four groups based on the length of cryopreservation. The live birth rate (LBR) was highest in the 0.8-3.0 months group (38 %) compared to the other groups. Multivariable logistic regression with the 0.8-3.0 months group as the reference, demonstrated that the 6.1-12.0 months group and >12.0 months group experienced lower live birth rates (aOR = 0.82 (0.72, 0.94) and aOR = 0.71 (0.57, 0.88), respectively). The LBR for the 3.1-6.0 months group was comparable to that of the 0.8-3.0 months group, with an aOR of 0.98 (0.90, 1.07). Sensitivity analyses in women who underwent single blastocyst transfer, in women with at least one good-quality embryo for transfer, and in women with age less than 36 at embryo transfer demonstrated a similar association between LBR and embryo frozen time. The neonatal outcomes were not significantly different among the four groups. CONCLUSIONS: Embryo vitrification greater than six months is associated with a reduction in success rate but does not appear to alter neonatal outcome.

The effect of educational attainment on birthrate in Japan: an analysis using the census and the vital statistics from 2000 to 2020.

BACKGROUND: In Japan, difference in birth rates depending on educational attainment has not been investigated. This study aimed to reveal birth rates in Japan depending on the highest level of educational attainment and their trends over the years using nationwide government statistics data. METHODS: Individual-level data from Vital Statistics and the Census from 2000, 2010, and 2020 were used for birth and population data, respectively. Data linkage was conducted for males and females in the Census and fathers and mothers in the Vital Statistics using information about gender, household, nationality, marital status, birth year, birth month, prefecture, and municipality for individuals. The birth rate was calculated by gender, a five-year age group, the highest level of educational attainment achieved, and year. In addition, the slope index of inequality (SII) and relative index of inequality (RII) were calculated to evaluate the degree of inequality in birth rates, depending on the educational attainment. RESULTS: Birth rates were higher in persons with lower educational attainment compared to those with a higher educational attainment among males and females in their twenties, while they tended to be higher in persons with higher educational attainment among those in their thirties and forties. Additionally, an increase in the birth rate from 2000 to 2020 was the largest in university graduates among males aged 25-49 years and women aged 30-49 years, and a decrease in the birth rate was the smallest in university graduates among males and females aged 20-24 years. As a result, SII and RII increased from 2000 to 2020 among males and females in their thirties and forties. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, persons with higher educational attainment tended to have a relatively favorable trend in the birth rate compared with persons with lower educational attainment in recent decades. It suggested that enhanced administrative support for individuals with lower educational attainment or lower socioeconomic status may be required to ameliorate the declining birth rate in Japan.

The Formal Demography of Peak Population.

When will the human population peak? In this article, we build on classical results by Ansley Coale, who showed that when fertility declines steadily, births reach their maximum before fertility reaches replacement level, and the decline in total population size does not occur until several decades after fertility has reached that level. We extend Coale's results by modeling longevity increases, net immigration, and a slowdown in fertility decline that resembles current projections. With these extensions, our models predict a typical lag between replacement-level fertility and population decline of about 35 to 40 years, consistent with projections by the United Nations and about 15 years longer than the lag predicted by Coale. Our analysis helps reveal underlying factors in the timing of peak population.

Association between previous surgical termination of pregnancy and pregnancy outcomes in frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles of IVF/ICSI: a retrospective cohort study.

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of previous surgical termination of pregnancy (STP) on pregnancy outcomes in women undergoing FET cycles of IVF/ICSI. Retrospective cohort study. Reproductive Center of Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital in Lianyungang city. Data were selected from all IVF/ICSI FET cycles performed between January 2014 and December 2020. A total of 761 cycles met the criteria were included in this study. The primary outcome measures were clinical pregnancy and live birth rates. Secondary outcome measures were biochemical pregnancy rate, spontaneous abortion rate, and preterm birth rate. After adjustments for a series of potential confounding factors, the previous STP was an influential factor in reducing FET cycle clinical pregnancy rate compared with women who had not previously undergone STP (OR = 0.614, 95% CI 0.413-0.911, P = 0.016). The effect of the previous STP on the live birth rate was not statistically significant. (OR = 0.745, 95% CI 0.495-1.122, P = 0.159). Also, an increase in the number of previous STPs relative to only 1-time abortion was an independent risk factor in reducing clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate (OR = 0.399,95% CI 0.162-0.982, p = 0.046; OR = 0.32,95% CI 0.119-0.857, p = 0.023). Previous STP was an independent factor contributing to the decline in FET cycle clinical pregnancy rates.